中国人バイヤー先日のことですが、下の記事にあるように中国の不動産ポータルサイトのCEOが、おかしなプレゼンテーションをしました。

今は中国人の間でタイの不動産購入が一番人気で、特にバンコク、チェンマイ、パタヤのコンドミニアムに対する中国人バイヤーのコンドミニアム購入は今年も止まらない…、というものです。

これを読んで私がすぐに思ったのは、そもそも中国のマスコミなど信用できないし、多分に受け狙いのポジショントークだろうということです。

従って、私はあまり参考にしていませんが、絶対違うともいえないので、一応、概要を簡単に以下でまとめてみました。

1.2019年もタイの不動産購入は中国人バイヤーにとって人気ナンバー1である。特に
バンコク、チェンマイ、パタヤに人気があり、少なくとも昨年比で10%以上の増加となる。

2.その最大の理由は、中国人バイヤーにとって、中国政府の資金統制や不動産価格高騰により、
中国国内にはタイの不動産のように予算内で買える魅力ある投資機会がないからである。

3.中国とアメリカとの貿易戦争も、中国人投資家にアメリカへの投資からタイ不動産投資に方向転換させる原因となっている。

4.その結果、タイは2016年に不動産投資先として6番目に人気があったが、2017年には3位に上昇し(中国人バイヤー見参、日系デベは道を空けろ(その2)を参照)、2018年はとうとう第1位となった。

5.中国人の不動産購入の72.4%が投資目的

以上、都合のいいことばかりいっていますが、最後の締めくくりのところで、中国でタイのコンドミニアムを売りたければ我が社を使うのが一番、としっかり
自社の宣伝をしているところが笑ってしまいますが…。

しかし、実態はそんな単純なものではなく、今年のバンコクコンドミニアム市場にとって、大きな不透明要因であり、その影響が無視できないのが中国人投資家の動向だと思っています。

また、もう2年近く前になりますが、中国マネー見参!で4回にわたり、中国人バイヤーについて書きましたが、是非それを読み返して下さい。

あれから予想通り、タイでの中国人投資家の買いが急増してきましたが、ここで不動産を買っている中国人の多くは、アメリカやオーストラリアでの投資と違い、政府高官や成功したビジネスマンが財産を海外に逃避させマネーロンダリングする目的で買うというよりも、不動産価格が高騰してしまい、
本国ではもう自宅が買えなくなってしまったような、予算が400万~500万バーツのいわゆるミドルクラスの人達が多いのです。

こういう投資家達は経済的な余裕があまりなく、中国経済がおかしくなればあっという間にいなくなるし、今年の竣工引渡しの際にまとまった資金の調達ができずにキャンセルする可能性も高いのです。

次回に続く

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Thai Property lures Chinese
Bangkok, Chiang Mai, Pattaya most popular 


Thailand is expected to remain the most popular country for Chinese property buyers in 2019, with growth of at least 10% from last year and Bangkok, Chiang Mai, Pattaya and Phuket as the top destinations.
Carrie Law, chief executive and director of Juwai.com, the Chinese international property portal, said there has never been so many buying inquiries for Thai property.
"This reflects excellent offerings from developers combined with quality, lifestyle and investment prospects," she said.
"This is also the result of other factors driving Chinese consumers to seek appealing overseas property in the price ranges available in Thailand, particularly given Beijing's regime of capital controls and a lack of alternative investment opportunities within China itself," she said.
Ms Law said the ongoing infrastructure developments in Thailand provide Chinese buyers with confidence in Thailand's long-term economic potential.
US-China trade tension will be another key driver that will shift Chinese buyers' interest from the US to Thailand, she said.
Last year was the first time Thailand had the most inquiries for any country on Juwai.com, according to the website that reaches more than 3.1 million Chinese-speaking users monthly and showcases 2.8 million listings from 90 countries.
From ranking as the sixth most popular destination in 2016, Thailand rose to third place in 2017 before hitting the top spot last year.
Following Thailand in the latest rankings are Australia, the US, Canada and the UK.
By total value invested, Thailand was ranked the fourth with US$2.3 billion (73.2 billion baht), following the US ($30.4 billion), Hong Kong ($16.2 billion) and Australia ($14.1 billion). Malaysia came in fifth with $2 billion.
In terms of total investment value, Ms Law estimated some 15,000 new Bangkok apartments were sold to buyers from mainland China and Hong Kong during 2018.
They accounted for about half of all foreign buyer purchases in Bangkok.
This means if Chinese buyers purchased units at an average price of 5 million baht, the total investment during 2018 by mainland and Hong Kong Chinese buyers was 75 billion baht.
The top six searched cities in Thailand were Bangkok, Pattaya, Chiang Mai, Phuket, Sattahip and Samui.
The top five enquired locations included Bangkok, Chiang Mai, Pattaya, Phuket and Samui with total enquiry value of $547.7 million. The median enquiry price was $122,000.
Buying for investment was the top motivation among Chinese buyers, accounting for 72.4% of purchasers, followed by personal use, holiday, retirement, education and rental.
Last year top three most enquired listings in Chiang Mai. They were led by a two-year-old single detached house with a usable area of 305 square metres priced 5.65 million baht.
This was followed by a one-year-old single detached house priced 7.48 million baht with a usable area of 240 sq m and a two-year-old condo unit sized 30 sq m, priced 650,000 baht.
While Bangkok led all other global property investment destinations in terms of Chinese interest, there are long-term threats to Bangkok's appeal, especially the high levels of pollution seen recently.
"Chinese buyers don't want to go overseas just to encounter the same levels of air pollution they have to put up with at home," she said.
As there will be a large number of condo projects being completed and transferred to Chinese buyers this year, Ms Law suggested Thai developers prepare a transfer process and after-sale services specifically for Chinese buyers.
"Thailand will have a general election in the next couple of months. Instead of waiting for things to settle down, developers should be making plans," she said.
"Last year we suggested Malaysian developers make plans as their country had approaching general elections. Those who were prepared had the advantage."
Juwai.com on Tuesday signed a memorandum of understanding with Prop2morrow.com, a Thai investment property website that will be a reseller for Juwai.com in Thailand.
"We will be a channel for overseas businesses that do not have servers in China," said Ms Law. "As long as you don't have a server in China, you will be invisible to Chinese consumers."